Sol de América vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
37.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
AME
1 - 1
TAC
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
NAC
0 - 1
AME
68%
21%
11%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
AME
3 - 1
IND
47%
27%
27%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
LQE
1 - 2
AME
57%
23%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2011 |
CCP
2 - 0
AME
69%
21%
11%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 2
GEN
67%
21%
12%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
LIB
3 - 2
GUA
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 0
SAN
70%
20%
10%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
RÑU
2 - 2
GUA
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
OLI
2 - 0
GUA
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |