Sol de América vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
18.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1982 |
AME
2 - 1
MUN
66%
18%
17%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1982 |
AME
1 - 1
OLI
33%
27%
40%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1982 |
MEL
3 - 2
AME
59%
20%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1982 |
MUN
0 - 3
AME
54%
21%
25%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1982 |
OLI
1 - 1
AME
76%
14%
10%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1982 |
MUN
0 - 2
MEL
48%
22%
30%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1982 |
MEL
3 - 2
AME
59%
20%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1982 |
MEL
0 - 3
OLI
40%
26%
33%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1982 |
MEL
2 - 1
MUN
64%
19%
18%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |