Sol de América vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
19.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1992 |
AME
1 - 3
NAC
23%
26%
51%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1992 |
CCP
2 - 0
AME
66%
19%
15%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1992 |
DEF
1 - 2
AME
59%
21%
20%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1992 |
NAC
2 - 2
AME
77%
15%
8%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1992 |
AME
0 - 2
CCP
47%
24%
30%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1992 |
CCP
1 - 1
DEF
66%
19%
15%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1992 |
NAC
2 - 3
DEF
77%
15%
8%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1992 |
DEF
1 - 2
AME
59%
21%
20%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1992 |
DEF
2 - 3
CCP
46%
24%
30%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1992 |
DEF
0 - 1
NAC
25%
26%
49%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |