Sol de América vs 12 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
14.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
AME
37%
27%
37%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
AME
1 - 2
OLI
39%
26%
36%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
GUA
3 - 0
AME
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
AME
1 - 0
RÑU
53%
23%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 1
AME
56%
24%
21%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
LQE
2 - 1
12O
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
12O
3 - 2
GEN
36%
28%
37%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
12O
1 - 1
SAN
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2014 |
OLI
2 - 0
12O
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
12O
1 - 1
GUA
16%
23%
62%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | +1 |