Sol de América vs 12 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
13.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2014 |
CCP
6 - 3
AME
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
AME
3 - 0
DEP
52%
23%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
RÑU
0 - 2
AME
53%
25%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
LQE
1 - 3
AME
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
AME
0 - 4
GUA
31%
25%
44%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2014 |
12O
1 - 1
SAN
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2014 |
GEN
1 - 0
12O
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
CCP
4 - 1
12O
74%
17%
9%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
DEP
2 - 2
12O
64%
21%
16%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
12O
0 - 3
RÑU
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |