Sol de América vs 12 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2009 |
RÑU
1 - 2
AME
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 1
AME
65%
21%
13%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2009 |
AME
1 - 2
TAC
48%
26%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
AME
0 - 1
SAN
55%
23%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
AME
0 - 1
2DE
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
12O
2 - 3
TAC
37%
26%
37%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 0
12O
60%
25%
16%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2009 |
12O
1 - 0
2DE
41%
26%
33%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 0
12O
70%
20%
11%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
12O
1 - 1
CCP
26%
27%
47%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |