Sol de América vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
30.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
7º
11º
7º
45
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
LIB
4 - 1
AME
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
AME
1 - 0
2DE
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SPT
4 - 0
AME
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
AME
0 - 3
LQE
46%
27%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 0
AME
42%
27%
32%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
FLU
2 - 1
CCP
75%
16%
9%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
CCP
1 - 1
OLI
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
ALI
1 - 1
CCP
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
LIB
1 - 3
CCP
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
CCP
4 - 0
JLM
44%
26%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |