Sol de América vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
GEN
2 - 1
AME
35%
28%
37%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
AME
3 - 2
DEP
54%
22%
24%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 3
AME
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
AME
2 - 1
LIB
45%
26%
30%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
RPA
1 - 1
AME
29%
28%
43%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
CCP
1 - 2
BOC
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CCP
1 - 2
OLI
47%
24%
30%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
CCP
1 - 0
SFE
45%
24%
31%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2016 |
CCP
3 - 4
GUA
47%
23%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
CSL
2 - 0
CCP
35%
25%
39%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |