Sol de América vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
24.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1979 |
AME
2 - 2
BOL
60%
21%
19%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1979 |
AME
2 - 1
JWI
69%
17%
14%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1979 |
AME
0 - 1
OLI
53%
22%
25%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1979 |
JWI
2 - 3
AME
41%
24%
36%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1979 |
BOL
4 - 1
AME
59%
20%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1978 |
CCP
0 - 4
CAL
58%
22%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1978 |
CCP
3 - 1
ALI
54%
21%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
CAL
1 - 1
CCP
62%
19%
18%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1978 |
ALI
3 - 0
CCP
57%
20%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1978 |
CCP
1 - 0
POR
65%
19%
16%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |