Sol de América vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
19.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1979 |
AME
2 - 1
JWI
69%
17%
14%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1979 |
AME
0 - 1
OLI
53%
22%
25%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1979 |
JWI
2 - 3
AME
41%
24%
36%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1979 |
BOL
4 - 1
AME
59%
20%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1979 |
OLI
2 - 1
AME
64%
18%
18%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1979 |
JWI
0 - 6
BOL
38%
24%
38%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1979 |
BOL
2 - 1
OLI
57%
21%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1979 |
BOL
4 - 1
AME
59%
20%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
BOL
4 - 0
JWI
65%
18%
17%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1977 |
NAC
1 - 0
BOL
63%
20%
17%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |