Sokol Saratov vs Arsenal Tula analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
70.7%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sokol Saratov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
SOK
3 - 0
SPA
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2013 |
FCO
2 - 2
SOK
34%
26%
40%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
SOK
2 - 2
MET
59%
23%
18%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
LOK
0 - 1
SOK
30%
26%
45%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
SOK
1 - 1
MET
63%
22%
15%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal Tula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
ALA
2 - 0
ARS
43%
28%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
ARS
2 - 1
NEF
62%
23%
16%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
ANG
1 - 3
ARS
17%
26%
57%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2013 |
ARS
1 - 0
UFA
64%
22%
14%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
KHI
1 - 1
ARS
17%
26%
56%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |