Sokół Ostróda vs Polonia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
61.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sokół Ostróda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2018 |
PEL
1 - 1
SOK
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
SOK
0 - 2
WIK
85%
11%
5%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
TBP
2 - 1
SOK
14%
21%
65%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
SOK
2 - 1
DNM
46%
24%
31%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
UWA
0 - 0
SOK
42%
24%
33%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Polonia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2018 |
POL
2 - 0
LTM
54%
23%
24%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
LOM
3 - 3
POL
16%
22%
62%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
2 - 2
POL
28%
27%
45%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
HUR
1 - 3
POL
21%
25%
55%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
POL
2 - 4
PEL
73%
17%
10%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -1 |