Sokół Ostróda vs Polonia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
52.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sokół Ostróda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2017 |
CON
3 - 0
SOK
29%
25%
46%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
SOK
2 - 2
WLO
29%
25%
46%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
MLP
1 - 2
SOK
8%
16%
76%
|
38 | 11 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
SOK
0 - 1
SWI
36%
26%
39%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
1 - 2
SOK
40%
28%
32%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Polonia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
POL
1 - 2
RAK
33%
27%
40%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
KOT
2 - 2
POL
34%
26%
41%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
POL
2 - 1
OLI
67%
20%
14%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
STA
0 - 2
POL
50%
26%
25%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2017 |
POL
1 - 1
ROZ
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |