Sogdiana vs Nasaf Qarshi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.1%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
30.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
8º
14º
11º
48
2º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sogdiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2023 |
SOG
2 - 2
ORO
78%
15%
7%
|
64 | 28 | 36 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
BUX
0 - 2
SOG
29%
27%
43%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SOG
2 - 0
FKT
47%
28%
25%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
AND
1 - 2
SOG
36%
28%
37%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
PAK
1 - 0
SOG
59%
21%
20%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Nasaf Qarshi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2023 |
MET
1 - 2
NAS
28%
29%
43%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
NAS
0 - 0
NAV
50%
27%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
NAS
1 - 0
TER
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
NAS
3 - 0
FKO
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
BUN
1 - 1
NAS
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |