Sogdiana vs Dinamo Samarqand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
26.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
10º
3º
26
5º
13º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 49 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 45 |
2º
|
67% | |
|
|
3º
|
35 | 42 |
3º
|
56% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 39 |
4º
|
52.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
26 | 33 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 33 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 33 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 29 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 28 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 27 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 25 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 25 |
12º
|
24.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 23 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 18 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
3% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
21% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
76% | 99% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sogdiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
FKL
1 - 2
SOG
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
SOG
1 - 0
NAS
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
TER
1 - 0
SOG
38%
26%
35%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
SOG
4 - 0
BUN
46%
27%
28%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
OLM
5 - 3
SOG
53%
23%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Samarqand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
DSA
1 - 1
AND
44%
27%
30%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2024 |
FKL
0 - 2
DSA
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
DSA
0 - 1
FKO
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
DSA
2 - 0
QIZ
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
NAS
1 - 1
DSA
53%
26%
22%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |