Sofapaka vs Thika United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sofapaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
MAT
2 - 2
SOF
55%
25%
19%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
SOF
3 - 2
AFC
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
SOF
2 - 1
MUH
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
SON
1 - 0
SOF
44%
30%
26%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SOF
0 - 0
GOR
30%
28%
42%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Thika United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
THI
1 - 0
CHE
44%
29%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ULI
1 - 0
THI
51%
27%
22%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
THI
1 - 0
USH
51%
27%
23%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
NAI
0 - 1
THI
30%
28%
42%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
THI
1 - 1
SON
45%
29%
27%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |