Sofapaka vs Nzoia Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sofapaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
NAI
0 - 2
SOF
58%
24%
19%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
KAK
1 - 1
SOF
64%
22%
14%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
SOF
1 - 1
KAK
31%
26%
43%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
TLT
0 - 0
SOF
45%
28%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
SOF
1 - 2
TLT
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Nzoia Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
NZO
1 - 1
ULI
45%
29%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
BAN
2 - 2
NZO
59%
24%
17%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
NZO
1 - 2
BAN
30%
29%
41%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
NZO
0 - 0
VIU
63%
22%
15%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
VIU
0 - 1
NZO
26%
27%
48%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |