Sofapaka vs Nairobi City Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sofapaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
BAN
1 - 0
SOF
56%
25%
19%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
SOF
1 - 1
TUS
30%
27%
44%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
KAK
1 - 1
SOF
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
CHE
2 - 1
SOF
40%
31%
29%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
SOF
1 - 2
WES
57%
24%
19%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nairobi City Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
NAI
0 - 1
CHE
38%
30%
33%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
GOR
2 - 1
NAI
69%
22%
10%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
NAI
1 - 1
ULI
23%
29%
48%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
POS
0 - 0
NAI
57%
25%
18%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
NAI
1 - 1
MUH
26%
27%
47%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |