Sergipano Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Socorrense vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
51.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Socorrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
SOC
2 - 1
LAG
50%
24%
27%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2014 |
CON
2 - 0
SOC
67%
20%
13%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ITA
2 - 0
SOC
39%
27%
34%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
SOC
4 - 1
CDC
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
SOC
3 - 1
COR
69%
19%
13%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
SER
2 - 0
COR
82%
13%
5%
|
49 | 19 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2014 |
EST
0 - 4
SER
31%
25%
44%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
SER
4 - 0
AMA
76%
15%
8%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
CON
2 - 1
SER
39%
27%
35%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
SER
3 - 3
LAG
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |