Socorrense vs Lagarto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
33.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Socorrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
GUA
3 - 0
SOC
49%
26%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
SOC
0 - 3
CON
15%
24%
62%
|
31 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SER
1 - 0
SOC
75%
17%
8%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CON
4 - 0
SOC
69%
20%
11%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
SOC
1 - 1
LAG
44%
25%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
LAG
1 - 2
ITA
38%
26%
36%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
LAG
0 - 1
EST
25%
23%
52%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
DOR
3 - 1
LAG
40%
24%
36%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
LAG
2 - 1
EST
28%
25%
47%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
SOC
1 - 1
LAG
44%
25%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |