Socorrense vs Lagarto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-95%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Socorrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2014 |
CON
2 - 0
SOC
67%
20%
13%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ITA
2 - 0
SOC
39%
27%
34%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
SOC
4 - 1
CDC
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
SOC
3 - 1
COR
69%
19%
13%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
AMA
0 - 0
SOC
39%
25%
36%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 1
LAG
82%
13%
5%
|
34 | 64 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2014 |
LAG
3 - 0
OSE
73%
18%
10%
|
34 | 13 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
EST
2 - 1
LAG
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
LAG
1 - 0
ITA
44%
25%
31%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
SER
3 - 3
LAG
76%
16%
8%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | +1 |