Socorrense vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
26.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-83%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Socorrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
CON
2 - 1
SOC
65%
21%
14%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
SOC
0 - 2
CON
33%
25%
43%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
SER
1 - 2
SOC
74%
17%
9%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2014 |
SOC
1 - 1
SER
24%
25%
51%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
SOC
2 - 1
LAG
50%
24%
27%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ITA
0 - 1
SER
24%
27%
49%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
ITA
2 - 1
CON
23%
25%
53%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2014 |
AMA
2 - 1
ITA
42%
25%
33%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ITA
2 - 0
SOC
39%
27%
34%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
LAG
1 - 0
ITA
44%
25%
31%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |