Socorrense vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
27.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-82%
+75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Socorrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
CDC
1 - 0
SOC
30%
24%
46%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
SER
2 - 0
SOC
56%
23%
22%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
SOC
3 - 1
ITA
44%
26%
30%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
EST
0 - 0
SOC
48%
25%
27%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
SOC
0 - 0
AME
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 3
COR
69%
20%
11%
|
36 | 9 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
ITA
0 - 1
OSE
56%
25%
20%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
SOC
3 - 1
ITA
44%
26%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ITA
1 - 1
SER
41%
28%
31%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
AME
1 - 3
ITA
27%
28%
46%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | +1 |