Socorrense vs Coritiba SE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-95%
-85%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Socorrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
AMA
0 - 0
SOC
39%
25%
36%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
SOC
3 - 1
EST
40%
26%
34%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
OSE
0 - 3
SOC
22%
24%
54%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
SOC
1 - 3
SER
26%
26%
49%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
LAG
1 - 0
SOC
36%
25%
38%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Coritiba SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
COR
0 - 2
ITA
27%
24%
49%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
CON
3 - 0
COR
73%
17%
10%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
COR
3 - 1
AMA
21%
22%
57%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | +4 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
LAG
0 - 1
COR
71%
18%
11%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
COR
0 - 3
SER
15%
22%
62%
|
17 | 49 | 32 | -1 |