Socorrense vs Guarany SE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
30.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-91%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Socorrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SOC
3 - 0
BOC
38%
24%
38%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
AMA
0 - 1
SOC
52%
23%
25%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ITA
3 - 0
SOC
57%
24%
19%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
SOC
1 - 1
DOR
32%
24%
44%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
EST
3 - 1
SOC
60%
23%
17%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Guarany SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 1
ITA
32%
27%
41%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
EST
1 - 1
GUA
60%
22%
18%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
DOR
0 - 0
GUA
55%
22%
23%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
LAG
2 - 1
GUA
41%
25%
34%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 1
AMA
42%
24%
34%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |