Castiadas vs Ostia Mare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
33.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castiadas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 4
VIS
31%
22%
47%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
APR
4 - 2
CAS
75%
15%
10%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 1
SSC
27%
22%
51%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 0
MON
27%
23%
51%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ULD
2 - 1
CAS
61%
21%
18%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ostia Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
MON
4 - 1
OST
70%
17%
13%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
OST
0 - 1
ULD
30%
25%
45%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
FLA
2 - 2
OST
55%
23%
22%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
OST
0 - 1
LAN
30%
25%
45%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
SFF
3 - 0
OST
76%
14%
10%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |