Castiadas vs Budoni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
69.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castiadas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 1
CAS
88%
8%
4%
|
15 | 39 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 2
ALB
9%
15%
76%
|
15 | 40 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CYN
1 - 0
CAS
74%
17%
9%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 2
ARZ
15%
20%
66%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
OLB
3 - 1
CAS
85%
10%
5%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Budoni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
OST
4 - 0
BUD
52%
23%
24%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
BUD
3 - 1
AST
71%
18%
11%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 2
BUD
65%
18%
17%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
BUD
2 - 5
ALB
38%
25%
37%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
CYN
0 - 0
BUD
35%
26%
39%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |