Castiadas vs Albalonga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.5%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
75.8%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castiadas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CYN
1 - 0
CAS
74%
17%
9%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 2
ARZ
15%
20%
66%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
OLB
3 - 1
CAS
85%
10%
5%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 1
MUR
23%
21%
56%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Albalonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 2
ALB
48%
23%
28%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ALB
0 - 1
OST
64%
21%
16%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
BUD
2 - 5
ALB
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ALB
5 - 1
AST
76%
15%
10%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |