Sete de Setembro vs Ipanema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
34.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sete de Setembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
SSS
3 - 2
CSE
17%
22%
61%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 1
SSS
52%
23%
25%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
SSS
3 - 1
IPA
27%
22%
51%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +3 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 3
SSS
60%
22%
18%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
SSS
1 - 4
CRB
7%
16%
78%
|
24 | 62 | 38 | -1 |
Matches
Ipanema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
IPA
0 - 1
PEN
36%
25%
39%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CSE
1 - 0
IPA
69%
19%
12%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
SSS
3 - 1
IPA
27%
22%
51%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -2 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
IPA
0 - 1
CSE
24%
26%
51%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
MUR
3 - 0
IPA
59%
22%
19%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |