SG Lucense vs UD Orensana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
30.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SG Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1951 |
BAR
2 - 2
SGL
79%
12%
9%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1951 |
SGL
2 - 2
GIM
35%
22%
43%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1951 |
CAU
4 - 0
SGL
48%
21%
31%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 1951 |
SGL
0 - 0
ALA
64%
18%
18%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1951 |
LOG
2 - 1
SGL
68%
16%
16%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
UD Orensana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1951 |
ORE
4 - 2
SAB
49%
23%
28%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1951 |
BAR
3 - 0
ORE
72%
15%
13%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1951 |
ORE
1 - 0
UES
57%
20%
23%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1951 |
GIM
5 - 2
ORE
74%
14%
12%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1951 |
ORE
1 - 1
OVI
47%
24%
29%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |