SG Lucense vs UD Orensana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.1%
14.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SG Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1948 |
SGL
0 - 3
RCF
22%
19%
59%
|
38 | 68 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
SGL
7 - 1
SAN
77%
13%
10%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
CUL
3 - 2
SGL
64%
18%
18%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
SGL
1 - 1
JUV
87%
8%
5%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1948 |
SGL
5 - 2
PON
62%
19%
19%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
UD Orensana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
ORE
0 - 0
PON
66%
17%
16%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
BER
6 - 2
ORE
61%
19%
20%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
ORE
3 - 0
PON
90%
6%
3%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1948 |
SAN
1 - 1
ORE
45%
22%
33%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1948 |
ORE
4 - 1
CUL
54%
20%
27%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +3 |