Copa del Rey 1/512
Global 5-1
SG Lucense vs UD Orensana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.5%
17.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SG Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1944 |
ORE
1 - 1
SGL
54%
21%
26%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1944 |
SGL
4 - 1
BET
86%
9%
5%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1944 |
SGL
4 - 0
RCF
29%
22%
49%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | +2 |
| 30 Jan. 1944 |
LEM
3 - 0
SGL
40%
22%
38%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -2 |
| 23 Jan. 1944 |
SGL
3 - 1
ORE
62%
18%
20%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
UD Orensana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1944 |
ORE
1 - 1
SGL
54%
21%
26%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1944 |
ORE
3 - 0
LEM
69%
17%
14%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1944 |
PON
2 - 0
ORE
66%
18%
16%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1944 |
ORE
4 - 1
SAN
59%
20%
22%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Jan. 1944 |
SGL
3 - 1
ORE
62%
18%
20%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -2 |