SG Lucense vs SD Erandio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
22.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SG Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1950 |
OSA
4 - 1
SGL
79%
12%
9%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1950 |
SGL
0 - 1
BAR
35%
22%
43%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1950 |
SAB
4 - 2
SGL
87%
8%
5%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1950 |
GIR
2 - 1
SGL
76%
13%
11%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1950 |
BAD
3 - 1
SGL
75%
13%
12%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
SD Erandio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1950 |
SDE
4 - 1
BAR
32%
23%
46%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1950 |
GIR
3 - 0
SDE
78%
13%
9%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1950 |
SDE
6 - 2
ARO
69%
16%
15%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1950 |
RCF
3 - 2
SDE
80%
12%
9%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1950 |
SDE
2 - 5
RAC
27%
24%
50%
|
43 | 66 | 23 | 0 |