SG Lucense vs Racing Ferrol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.2%
30.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SG Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1950 |
SGL
2 - 1
BAD
48%
20%
32%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1950 |
SGL
2 - 1
HUE
57%
20%
24%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1950 |
OVI
2 - 2
SGL
71%
16%
14%
|
44 | 74 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1950 |
SGL
1 - 3
LOG
66%
17%
17%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1950 |
OSA
3 - 3
SGL
78%
12%
10%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1950 |
RCF
2 - 0
BAD
59%
18%
23%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1950 |
HUE
3 - 2
RCF
49%
20%
30%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1950 |
RCF
1 - 1
OVI
49%
23%
28%
|
49 | 74 | 25 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1950 |
LOG
3 - 1
RCF
45%
21%
34%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1950 |
RCF
2 - 1
OSA
60%
18%
21%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |