Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 3-5
SG Lucense vs Racing Ferrol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.9%
41.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SG Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1950 |
GIM
4 - 1
SGL
61%
18%
21%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
RAC
8 - 0
SGL
86%
9%
6%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
SGL
1 - 2
ZAR
41%
22%
37%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
SGL
1 - 2
NUM
80%
12%
8%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
SGL
0 - 1
RCF
42%
20%
38%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1950 |
RCF
2 - 4
RAC
45%
23%
33%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1949 |
ORE
0 - 0
RCF
46%
20%
34%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
RCF
4 - 0
NUM
87%
8%
5%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
SPO
2 - 2
RCF
76%
13%
11%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
RCF
3 - 4
OSA
71%
15%
14%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |