Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 3-5
SG Lucense vs Racing Ferrol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.4%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.4%
37.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SG Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
LLE
9 - 2
SGL
56%
20%
24%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
SGL
2 - 1
SPO
33%
24%
43%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
SDE
3 - 2
SGL
35%
23%
42%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
SGL
3 - 0
OSA
51%
21%
29%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
BAR
2 - 1
SGL
85%
9%
6%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
SAB
5 - 1
RCF
76%
13%
11%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
BAD
4 - 2
RCF
52%
19%
29%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
ORE
5 - 0
RCF
33%
21%
47%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1949 |
RCF
7 - 2
GIM
81%
11%
8%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
ZAR
6 - 3
RCF
59%
19%
22%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -2 |