SG Lucense vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.2%
Win probability
3.27
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.6%
8.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SG Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
SGL
0 - 1
RCF
42%
20%
38%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
LLE
9 - 2
SGL
56%
20%
24%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
SGL
2 - 1
SPO
33%
24%
43%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
SDE
3 - 2
SGL
35%
23%
42%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
SGL
3 - 0
OSA
51%
21%
29%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
OSA
4 - 2
NUM
85%
9%
5%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
SPO
9 - 0
NUM
90%
7%
3%
|
41 | 70 | 29 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
NUM
3 - 2
OSA
48%
21%
31%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
SAB
6 - 2
NUM
92%
6%
3%
|
40 | 67 | 27 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
NUM
2 - 0
BAD
39%
20%
41%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | +2 |