SG Lucense vs Club Berbés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
23.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SG Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 1944 |
SGL
4 - 0
ORE
65%
18%
17%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1944 |
ORE
1 - 1
SGL
54%
21%
26%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1944 |
SGL
4 - 1
BET
86%
9%
5%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1944 |
SGL
4 - 0
RCF
29%
22%
49%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | +3 |
| 30 Jan. 1944 |
LEM
3 - 0
SGL
40%
22%
38%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -3 |
Matches
Club Berbés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1944 |
BER
3 - 0
PON
58%
20%
22%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1944 |
BER
4 - 1
CEL
57%
20%
23%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1944 |
BER
3 - 1
CFP
52%
21%
27%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +2 |
| 30 Jan. 1944 |
CAD
2 - 4
BER
72%
16%
12%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 23 Jan. 1944 |
PON
1 - 2
BER
73%
15%
12%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |