SG Lucense vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
55.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SG Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1948 |
PON
1 - 2
SGL
48%
21%
31%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1948 |
JUV
1 - 3
SGL
46%
21%
33%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
SGL
4 - 1
POP
80%
12%
8%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
SGL
4 - 3
RJU
77%
13%
10%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
AVI
2 - 1
SGL
47%
21%
32%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
GIM
3 - 2
CEL
45%
21%
34%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
ATH
3 - 2
CEL
72%
15%
14%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
CEL
1 - 1
DEP
82%
11%
7%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1948 |
CEL
2 - 2
ATM
56%
20%
25%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1948 |
RMA
6 - 0
CEL
62%
18%
19%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |