SG Lucense vs CD Juvenil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
12.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SG Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1947 |
SAN
2 - 1
SGL
38%
22%
40%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1947 |
SGL
3 - 0
CUL
42%
22%
37%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 1947 |
JUV
1 - 2
SGL
63%
17%
20%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1947 |
LEM
1 - 1
SGL
49%
21%
31%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1947 |
SGL
7 - 0
BET
93%
5%
2%
|
33 | 14 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
CD Juvenil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1947 |
CUL
2 - 1
JUV
88%
8%
4%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1947 |
JUV
1 - 0
ACF
79%
12%
9%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1947 |
JUV
1 - 2
SGL
63%
17%
20%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1947 |
ARO
3 - 1
JUV
52%
21%
27%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1947 |
JUV
2 - 0
LEM
76%
13%
11%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |