SG Lucense vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
43.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SG Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1950 |
SAB
4 - 2
SGL
87%
8%
5%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1950 |
GIR
2 - 1
SGL
76%
13%
11%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1950 |
BAD
3 - 1
SGL
75%
13%
12%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1950 |
SGL
3 - 2
ARO
76%
13%
11%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1950 |
ORE
1 - 1
SGL
65%
17%
18%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1950 |
BAR
2 - 0
GIR
69%
16%
14%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1950 |
ARO
1 - 1
BAR
30%
25%
44%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1950 |
BAR
3 - 2
RCF
70%
15%
15%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1950 |
RAC
4 - 1
BAR
79%
12%
9%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1950 |
BAR
3 - 1
NUM
88%
7%
4%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |