SG Lucense vs Badalona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
38.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SG Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
ARO
1 - 3
SGL
59%
18%
22%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
SGL
1 - 0
ORE
64%
18%
18%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
RCF
3 - 2
SGL
84%
10%
6%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1949 |
SGL
1 - 2
GIM
64%
17%
19%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
RJU
2 - 3
SGL
50%
21%
30%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Badalona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
ORE
5 - 0
BAD
38%
21%
41%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
BAD
3 - 1
GIM
82%
11%
8%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1949 |
ZAR
2 - 0
BAD
70%
15%
15%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1949 |
BAD
1 - 3
LLE
83%
10%
7%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
SPO
5 - 3
BAD
73%
14%
12%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | -2 |