SG Lucense vs Arosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.2%
10.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SG Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1950 |
ORE
1 - 1
SGL
65%
17%
18%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
SGL
5 - 0
RCF
35%
21%
44%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +2 |
| 06 Jan. 1950 |
SGL
3 - 4
RCF
37%
21%
42%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1950 |
GIM
4 - 1
SGL
61%
18%
21%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
RAC
8 - 0
SGL
86%
9%
6%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1950 |
ARO
3 - 0
RCF
34%
20%
46%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
RAC
3 - 2
ARO
94%
4%
2%
|
38 | 65 | 27 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1950 |
ARO
2 - 1
NUM
59%
19%
21%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
ARO
2 - 0
SPO
21%
22%
57%
|
34 | 68 | 34 | +2 |
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
OSA
1 - 0
ARO
90%
7%
3%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | -1 |