Eibar C vs Urduliz FT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
56%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1602%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
3º
18º
7º
18
9º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
44 | 74 |
1º
|
52.5% | |
|
1º
|
45 | 72 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 65 |
3º
|
38.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 57 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 56 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 52 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 51 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 50 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 47 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 46 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 46 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 42 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 41 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 40 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
18 | 30 |
15º
|
33.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 28 |
16º
|
29% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 26 |
17º
|
38.5% | |
|
18º
|
7 | 19 |
18º
|
78% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
28% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
72% | 23% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 77% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eibar C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
LON
1 - 0
SDE
70%
17%
13%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SDE
3 - 0
DAC
18%
20%
62%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | +4 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
CDD
0 - 2
SDE
77%
14%
9%
|
10 | 30 | 20 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SDE
2 - 1
SNT
16%
19%
65%
|
8 | 22 | 14 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
BEA
3 - 3
SDE
83%
11%
6%
|
7 | 34 | 27 | +1 |
Matches
Urduliz FT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
URD
1 - 1
CDT
23%
23%
54%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
DEU
2 - 0
URD
63%
21%
16%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
URD
2 - 2
CDU
27%
26%
47%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CDP
0 - 1
URD
31%
25%
44%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
LON
2 - 1
URD
52%
23%
25%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |