Copa Peru Eliminatorias 1/16
Global 3-6
Sociedad de Tiro 28 vs Miguel Grau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
38.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sociedad de Tiro 28
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
STI
3 - 0
CEA
6%
16%
79%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
CDH
1 - 0
STI
45%
22%
34%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
STI
0 - 0
ECO
5%
15%
80%
|
9 | 26 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
ECO
1 - 0
STI
74%
16%
11%
|
9 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
STI
0 - 0
CDH
43%
22%
35%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Miguel Grau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
VRA
1 - 0
GRA
10%
18%
72%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
GRA
2 - 0
DCE
61%
19%
20%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 5
GRA
9%
17%
74%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
GRA
1 - 0
CHA
69%
17%
14%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
DCE
1 - 2
GRA
22%
20%
58%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |