Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 4-5
CD Leonesa vs Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
21.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Leonesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1928 |
CAS
4 - 2
LEO
52%
22%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1928 |
LEO
3 - 2
DEP
36%
24%
40%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1928 |
OVI
5 - 3
LEO
74%
15%
11%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1928 |
LEO
6 - 1
RUD
85%
10%
6%
|
56 | 19 | 37 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1928 |
RAC
3 - 1
LEO
22%
23%
55%
|
57 | 30 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1928 |
CAS
4 - 2
LEO
52%
22%
27%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1927 |
EUR
2 - 0
CAS
43%
24%
34%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1927 |
CAS
3 - 1
CAR
73%
16%
12%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1927 |
CAS
2 - 1
EUR
68%
18%
15%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1927 |
CAR
1 - 0
CAS
35%
24%
40%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |