Social vs Tupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
38.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Social
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
SOC
0 - 0
RBR
46%
25%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2008 |
DEM
4 - 2
SOC
50%
23%
26%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2008 |
SOC
1 - 0
IFC
18%
23%
59%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
USC
2 - 1
SOC
71%
18%
11%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
TUP
2 - 2
SOC
60%
22%
19%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
TUP
2 - 1
NOR
34%
27%
40%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2008 |
BOA
1 - 0
TUP
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
MIR
3 - 1
TUP
55%
24%
21%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2008 |
TUP
2 - 1
MIR
38%
27%
34%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2008 |
TUP
1 - 1
BOA
48%
26%
26%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |