Social vs Guarani MG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
34.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Social
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
BOA
2 - 0
SOC
67%
19%
14%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
SOC
3 - 2
USC
24%
25%
51%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
RBR
1 - 0
SOC
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
AMF
0 - 0
SOC
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
SOC
1 - 2
DEM
32%
26%
42%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Guarani MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
GUA
0 - 1
ATM
9%
17%
74%
|
45 | 78 | 33 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
VIL
3 - 1
GUA
59%
21%
20%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 2
AMF
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 1
BOA
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
UBE
4 - 1
GUA
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |