Social vs Democrata GV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
42.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Social
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
UBE
1 - 0
SOC
59%
23%
18%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
SOC
0 - 3
ATM
9%
18%
74%
|
44 | 78 | 34 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
CRZ
5 - 0
SOC
95%
5%
1%
|
44 | 85 | 41 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2009 |
SOC
0 - 0
TUP
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
SOC
0 - 0
RBR
46%
25%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Democrata GV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2009 |
RBR
1 - 0
DEM
36%
25%
39%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
DEM
4 - 1
BOA
43%
25%
33%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 3
DEM
59%
21%
19%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
DEM
3 - 2
GUA
44%
24%
32%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
USC
2 - 1
DEM
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |