Sochaux vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sochaux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
REN
2 - 2
SOC
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
SOC
3 - 2
PSG
17%
23%
60%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
TRO
0 - 0
SOC
36%
26%
38%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
SOC
1 - 2
ASS
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
MPL
2 - 0
SOC
59%
23%
19%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
TRO
0 - 0
BAS
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
TFC
2 - 2
TRO
56%
26%
19%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
TRO
0 - 0
SOC
36%
26%
38%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
LIL
1 - 1
TRO
78%
15%
7%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
TRO
2 - 1
BRE
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |